As we cross into Week 14 of the NFL season and beyond, it's time to check back into the current Super Bowl odds. Week 14 is pivotal because fantasy football playoffs are just about to start, and the regular season has only about a month to go. These are the weeks where playoff spot clinches happen.
Here, we'll look at the top-five teams in terms of betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook and see where they stand.
Buffalo Bills (+350)
At 9-3, the Bills are currently the No. 1 seed in the AFC. Whether it's the AFC or NFC, having that home-field advantage is vital to success throughout the playoffs, but the Bills are most unique. If they continue with the No. 1 seed, teams must travel in the frigid cold to play in the Buffalo tundra.
However, the Bills did lose edge rusher Von Miller, to ACL surgery for the remainder of the season. It was initially thought he'd miss four weeks or so, but with him gone for the reason, the Bills lose a player that had 45 pressures through Week 12, including eight sacks. That's a lot of production off the edge; the Bills have players like Gregory Rousseau to step in.
The Bills have cornerback Tre'Davious White back in the lineup, who will help their coverage unit. On top of this, the Bills offense is rolling, putting up over 410 yards per game.
Betting Strategy: The odds aren't great at +350 for a futures bet, but there's very little to be worried about with the Bills.
Kansas City Chiefs (+500)
Also 9-3, the Chiefs currently hold the No. 2 seed after losing to the Bills earlier this season 24-20. Thus, it makes sense that they're behind the Bills here, odds-wise.
The Chiefs still have an excellent team, but there are some flaws, whether the lack of a purely explosive weapon like Tyreek Hill or the front seven that has more so-so players than top producers. The Chiefs have Chris Jones and Nick Bolton, but the rest are from top run defenders or pass rushers.
However, the Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce tandem will always be tough to stop. And if we are headed for a Chiefs/Bills AFC Championship, the Bills victory over Kansas City happened at Arrowhead, so the question becomes: can the Chiefs take them down in Buffalo?
Betting Strategy: The Chiefs are fantastic, but if they don't secure the No. 1 seed, they'll potentially have two tough playoff matchups against the Bills and possibly the Bengals—two teams they've lost to. Pass at +500.
Philadelphia Eagles (+500)
The first NFC team to appear here, the Eagles are phenomenal, with just one loss this season. Since that loss, the Eagles had a nail-biter against the Indianapolis Colts, then put up 40 against the Green Bay Packers and 35 against the tough Tennessee Titans. To finish the year, they have three divisional games, including two against the New York Giants and the Dallas Cowboys.
Quarterback Jalen Hurts is playing incredible football, completing over 68% of his passes and just three interceptions—not to mention his ability to run with the football. The addition of wide receiver A.J. Brown cannot be discussed enough—he's totally morphed this team into the offensive juggernaut they are today.
The Eagles kryptonite had been their tendency to allow teams to rack up rushing yards. They brought in defensive linemen Linval Joseph and Ndamukong Suh. They held Jonathan Taylor to less than four yards per carry and Derrick Henry had 30 yards on 11 carries.
Betting Strategy: The NFC is, overall, an easier group of teams, and they're in the driver's seat for the No. 1 seed. The offense and defense are both excellent. They should make it to the Super Bowl, especially with the 49ers injuries.
Dallas Cowboys (+700)
We discussed the Eagles run lately, but the Cowboys are on a run of their own at 9-3. Two games back from the Eagles, the Cowboys would love to have home-field advantage, but it's tough to imagine the Eagles faltering. They're coming off a 54-point Week 13 outing that included more than 30 points in the fourth quarter alone. A couple of weeks before that, they put up 40 against the Vikings in a 40-3 shellacking.
The Cowboys have two elite pass rushers, and left tackle Tyron Smith is on his way back. The flaw with the Cowboys is the lack of weapons outside of CeeDee Lamb. They have a great rushing attack with Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott, but if they get in a shootout, they might not have the weapons to get back into it.
Betting Strategy: They're coming off some big games, but it's hard to imagine them beating the Eagles on the road. They lack the weapons outside of Lamb. If only they had a player like Amari Cooper.
San Francisco 49ers (+1200)
Staying at No. 5 despite losing their second quarterback this season shows how dangerous the 49ers team is. Heading into Week 14, 49ers quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has a chance to come back for the postseason, but in the meantime, they'll roll with Iowa State product and Mr. Irrelevant, Brock Purdy. In relief of Garoppolo against the Miami Dolphins, Purdy had two touchdown passes, but this was in relief against a team that didn't gameplan for him. It'll be interesting to see how teams adjust to playing against him. Coming out of college, the knock on Purdy was his arm strength. He's an accurate passer but cannot push the ball downfield.
Thankfully, the 49ers system is based around getting the ball out quickly and has players like Deebo Samuel and Christian McCaffrey who catch closer to the line of scrimmage.
The 49ers have some challenging games coming up against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Seattle Seahawks, Washington Commanders, and Las Vegas Raiders, and also a divisional matchup at home against the Arizona Cardinals. Purdy doesn't need to do much to keep the team afloat. Not only do they have their weapons, but they have left tackle Trent Williams, who's easily the best left tackle in the league, and a defense that has Charvarius Ward, Nick Bosa, Fred Warner, Dre Greenlaw, and Talanoa Hufanga.
Betting Strategy: A true darkhorse. There's lots of value here at +1200, especially if you think Garoppolo will come back into the starting lineup and continue to perform. They have a phenomenal defense and a top-tier offense because of their offensive play scheming and weapons.
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