Here are the teams that Microsoft’s prediction engine says has the best chance of winning this week
FOXBORO, MA - SEPTEMBER 22: Head coach Bill Belichick of the New England Patriots looks on before the game against the Houston Texans at Gillette Stadium on September 22, 2016 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)

Cortana, Microsoft’s digital assistant for Windows 10, has just laid out its Week 4 NFL picks.

After going 8-8 with its picks last week and 26-22 on the season, Cortana’s trend of siding with the home team for most predictions is beginning to take a hit. But, according to the majority of Las Vegas oddsmakers, at least for this week, Cortana’s pretty much in line with most. Only one of Cortana’s prediction this week—the New York Jets having a 52% chance to beat the Seattle Seahawks at home— goes against the Vegas grain.

Cortana’s still leaning heavy towards the home teams, though, with 10 of its 15 picks favoring the home side. The two teams Cortana’s giving the best chances to win this week are the Patriots with a 74% chance to beat the Bills in Foxboro, and the Cardinals with a 73% chance to top the Rams at home. Here’s the full slate of predictions:

  • Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals (-7) — Bengals 69% chance to win 
  • Indianapolis Colts (-2.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (in London) — Colts 63% chance to win 
  • Cleveland Browns at Washington Redskins (Redskins -7.5) — Redskins 70% chance to win
  • Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-4.5) — Patriots 74% chance to win 
  • Seattle Seahawks at New York Jets (+3) — Jets 52% chance to win 
  • Carolina Panthers (-3) at Atlanta Falcons — Panthers 55% chance to win 
  • Detroit Lions (-3) at Chicago Bears — Lions 61% chance to win
  • Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans (-5) — Texans 67% chance to win
  • Oakland Raiders at Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) — Ravens 53% chance to win 
  • Denver Broncos (-3) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — Broncos 61% chance to win 
  • Dallas Cowboys (-3) at San Francisco 49ers — Cowboys 52% chance to win 
  • New Orleans Saints at San Diego Chargers (-3.5) — Chargers 64% chance to win 
  • Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (-8) — Cardinals 73% chance to win 
  • Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5) — Steelers 61% chance to win 
  • New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) — Vikings 64% chance to win

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